European Flow of Funds Pouring into Europe In March, ZettaCap published a report forecasting impending outperformance for European assets mostly due to the expected underperformance of populists in 2017 European elections, based on Social Media Influence (‘SMI’) forecasts. Since the report’s publication, there has been a marked uptick in flow of funds to and a […]
SMI Outperforms Polls in French Election
French Presidential Election SMI has lowest Forecasting Error Emmanuel Macron beat Marine Le Pen with 66.1% versus 33.9% of the popular vote, respectively. Social Media Influence (SMI) was the most accurate known forecasting method with a forecasting error of 2.7% in comparison to an average forecasting error of 4.1% for […]
Final Forecast French Presidential Election
2017 French Election Macron Victory, with slight outperformance On the eve of the second round of voting of the 2017 French Presidential Election, the SMI continues to point to Emmanuel Macron as the winner. The consensus call is that Macron will in fact win tomorrow. As the SMI forecast is in-line […]
SMI Update French Election: Macron becomes Front Runner
2017 French Presidential Election SMI-leader Macron takes the Betting Market lead Today is the first day that Emmanuel Macron has taken the lead in the betting markets for the 2017 French Presidential Election. This highly unlikely scenario was forecast using the Social Media Influence (SMI) index in early December, which stated that the then-third place […]
Is boring data big data?
The term big data is still being defined. It is unclear which data sources will eventually be included under the umbrella term of big data and which will not quite make it. As much as people do not like the term, which has become very clear with the negative coverage that it has received, I […]
Google Flu Trends got it wrong, so what?
There has been a major attack on big data over the last month with all sorts of sensational titles from leading publications. Some examples: • Science Magazine: The Parable of Google Flu: Traps in Big Data Analysis • Financial Times: Big data: are we making a big mistake? • Harvard Business Review: Google Flu Trends’ […]