Kevin Coogan

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Clinton Boost, Social Desirability Bias

October 19, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016          Social Desirability Bias / Clinton Affirming:  Benefiting from Bias Normally, Social Desirability Bias is associated with a negative bias – people claiming not to support something when they actually do or people claiming to not do something when they actually do.  But, topics or people can also benefit.  This […]

Filed Under: Election, Social Desirability Bias, Voter Turnout Tagged With: Clinton vs Trump, Female Vote, Social Desirability Bias, voter turnout

Congress Approval Rating, Social Desirability Bias

October 19, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016          Social Desirability Bias / Republican Shaming:  Congress Approval Rating The idea of individuals hiding their true voting intentions when responding in polls seems to have come to the forefront with Trump’s candidacy.  In reality, however, similar things have occurred for the Republican Party before Trump even announced his candidacy.  […]

Filed Under: Election, Social Desirability Bias Tagged With: Congress Approval Rating, election 2016, Social Desirability Bias

Obama Approval Rating, Social Desirability Bias

October 19, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016          Social Desirability Bias / Trump Shaming:  Obama Approval Rating Social Desirability Bias influences politics in many ways.  Though ‘Trump Shaming’ has received the most attention, this issue as it relates to politics is much larger.  It directly impacts support for the different political parties, policies, and politicians to a […]

Filed Under: Election, Social Desirability Bias, Uncategorized Tagged With: Obama, Social Desirability Bias, Trump

Summary: Social Desirability Bias, Election 2016

October 19, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016           Social Desirability Bias / Overview:  Summarized Findings The conditions are ripe for people to feel social pressure to vote a certain socially desirable way.  Americans do not appear to be actually changing who they vote for, simply changing who they say they will vote for when in front of other […]

Filed Under: Election, Social Desirability Bias Tagged With: Social Desirability Bias

Problems with the Current Election Analysis: Summary

October 19, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016           Problems with the Current Election Analysis: Summary Election analysis concerning the 2016 US Presidential race is truly awful. This series of posts will discuss this topic and of course how to improve upon it.  There are many issues and problems with the current US presidential analysis. Highlighting some of […]

Filed Under: Biased Media, Election, Identity Politics, Social Desirability Bias, Social Media Analysis, Transparency, Uncategorized Tagged With: election 2016, Social Desirability Bias

Conditions Ripe for Social Desirability Bias

October 19, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016           Social Desirability Bias / Overview:  Conditions Ripe for Social Desirability Bias Poll bias is alive and well. Different polls should show more or less similar results if there is no bias involved.  If polls begin to vary considerably for an apparent inexplicable reason, more research is needed to understand why.  […]

Filed Under: Election, Social Desirability Bias Tagged With: Bradley Effect, election 2016, Social Desirability Bias

Counter Arguments

October 19, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016          Intro: Counter Arguments and Potential Weaknesses As a general disclaimer, some weaknesses with the general analysis should be highlighted:   1. Media Bias and Social Desirability Bias – these go hand-in-hand when it comes to national political campaigns so if you disregard an inherent media bias that is weighted against […]

Filed Under: Biased Media, Election, Polls, Social Desirability Bias, Social Media Analysis, Transparency Tagged With: 2016 US Presidential Election, Media Bias, Social Desirability Bias

Republican Primaries, Social Desirability Bias

September 29, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016           Social Desirability Bias / Trump Shaming:  Republican Primaries The Republican primaries are a great case study for Social Desirability Bias.  We have a considerable amount of data from multiple polls in multiple states for multiple candidates.  Additionally, this data can be compared to actual results from the primaries. It turns […]

Filed Under: Election, Social Desirability Bias Tagged With: election 2016, Primaries, Social Desirability

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