Kevin Coogan

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Final Forecast 2016 Election

November 7, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016                      Final Forecasts, Trump Victory The day before election-day, our final forecast is for Trump to win the general election by a margin slightly less than Obama’s victory over Romney in 2012, or by about 3 percentage points. This forecast is heavily weighted towards social media, on-line activity, consumption data, interest levels, anonymous polls, and […]

Filed Under: Election, Polls, Social Desirability Bias, Voter Turnout Tagged With: election 2016, electoral votes, forecasts, popular vote

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