Election 2016 Backdrop to 2016: Democrats are Vulnerable, not Dominant Someone convinced the nation that the Democrats dominate and will continue to dominate politics. Furthermore, Obama’s wins in 2008 and 2012 are pointed to as proof. This has been an awesome coup in the sense that the country has digested this […]
3rd Parties, Social Desirability Bias
Election 2016 Social Desirability Bias / Johnson and Stein: Third Party Candidate Bias and the Hidden Voters The 2016 US presidential election is heavily influenced by Social Desirability Bias. We have seen how Clinton and especially Trump have been impacted in polls. But what about the third party candidates, are they […]
Obama Approval Rating, Social Desirability Bias
Election 2016 Social Desirability Bias / Trump Shaming: Obama Approval Rating Social Desirability Bias influences politics in many ways. Though ‘Trump Shaming’ has received the most attention, this issue as it relates to politics is much larger. It directly impacts support for the different political parties, policies, and politicians to a […]
Google Search Trends and Politics
Election 2016 Forecast / Turnout and Result: Google Search Trends can Predict Turnout and Election Winner People mostly get their information from search. If they are interested in something they tend to open a browser and search for the topic at hand. Google, by most accounts, controls over 60% of search in […]
Problems with Polls
Election 2016 Problems with Current Election Analysis: Polls, What are They Good For? Before looking closer at polls and polling, we should review some of their basics to highlight how something that is so often conducted by academics could go so wrong. Polls provide very little transparency in how they actually determine the results. […]
Increase Transparency
Election 2016 Problems with the Current Election Analysis: Journalists, Media, Political Analysts – Time to be Transparent, Copy Investment Advisors Investment advisors have a few things hammered into them. One of them is to avoid conflicts of interest and if there are any to disclose them very specifically and publicly. Journalists, media, […]
Problems with the Current Election Analysis: Summary
Election 2016 Problems with the Current Election Analysis: Summary Election analysis concerning the 2016 US Presidential race is truly awful. This series of posts will discuss this topic and of course how to improve upon it. There are many issues and problems with the current US presidential analysis. Highlighting some of […]
Is boring data big data?
The term big data is still being defined. It is unclear which data sources will eventually be included under the umbrella term of big data and which will not quite make it. As much as people do not like the term, which has become very clear with the negative coverage that it has received, I […]
Maturing of Universal Big Data and Emergence of Vertical Big Data
Most are declaring victory for universal big data projects, or those that allow for storing, analyzing and extracting insights from big data. In my opinion, however, that story is pretty much played out – to be replaced by big data as applied to verticals. The recent news item that got people talking was Cloudera receiving […]
Apache Mesos – the next big thing?
Paco Nathan educated a standing room only meet-up on Apache Mesos this week at “Deep Dive on Apache Mesos”. It was easily one of the best meet-ups yet this year. The presentation can be found here. My general conclusion is that Mesos will become an integral part of the big data stack. It provides the […]