Kevin Coogan

  • About
  • Blog
  • Election 2016 Analysis
  • Election Forecasts — OCT
  • Election Forecasts — NOV
  • Presentations and Research
  • Videos
  • zettacap
  • 
  • 
  • 
wordpress stat

Copyright © 2026 · Sixteen Nine Pro Theme on Genesis Framework · WordPress · Log in

SMI: Japan’s Snap Election

October 6, 2017 by Kevin Coogan

Japan’s General Election          LDP Re-Election Likely There is very little indication that Abe’s political rivals are gaining enough traction on social media relative to his own to seriously challenge him.  In fact, SMI points to the LDP and Abe handily winning re-election.  There is still time for a shift but given the circumstances, explained later, […]

Filed Under: Big Data, Election, Forecasts, Japan Election, Polls, Social Media Influence Tagged With: Abe, Election, Japan Election, Koike, LDP, Party of Hope, polls, SMI, social media analysis, social media influence

Summary: Identity Politics

October 19, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016           Forecast / Identity Politics:  Summary ‘Identity Politics’ appears to have taken firm root in America.  I do not like the idea or condone it.  Frankly, I think the laser like focus on demographics in America actually weakens the democracy and accentuates other problems.  However, for analysis purposes, we cannot ignore […]

Filed Under: Election, Enthusiasm to Vote, Identity Politics, Obama Coalition, Voter Turnout Tagged With: Election, election 2016, Identity Politics, voter turnout

Featured Posts

Who Won the First Democratic Debate (Night 2)?

Who Won the First Democratic Debate (Night 1)?

Michelle Obama as Reluctant Savior

2020 Democrats: Low Probability Candidates and a Reluctant Savior

Overview 2020 Democratic Race using SMI_January 2019

SMI of 2020 Democrats / ST Observations

US Midterms — SMI Trends

US Midterms — Summary of Forecasts

US Midterms — Republicans take a late lead

Bolsonaro to Win Brazil’s Presidency