Kevin Coogan

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Could Ciro Gomes take Second Place?

October 7, 2018 by Kevin Coogan

Ciro Gomes continues to boom. Today is election-day in Brazil.  Voting is occurring.  In previous elections in other countries, metrics used for election analysis have usually stabilized by this point.  Not so in Brazil. The SMI of Gomes is impressively strong, far exceeding what you would expect for such a ‘forgotten’ candidate on election-day.  This […]

Filed Under: Big Data, Brazilian Elections, Election, Forecasts, Polls, Social Desirability Bias, Social Media Analysis, Social Media Influence Tagged With: Bolsonaro, Brazil, Brazilian Elections, Ciro Gomes, Elections, Fernando Haddad, SMI

Brazilian Election Final Stretch

October 6, 2018 by Kevin Coogan

In an election filled with twists and turns, Social Media Influence (SMI) seems to have one last final surprise left in store.  A late surge by Ciro Gomes in SMI, which has not been detected by any traditional metric, will likely result in Gomes significantly outperforming polls tomorrow.  Though unlikely he can make up the […]

Filed Under: Big Data, Brazilian Elections, Election, Forecasts, Social Media Analysis, Social Media Influence Tagged With: Bolsonaro, Brazil, Brazilian Elections, Ciro Gomes, Fernando Haddad, forecasts, PT, SMI, social media

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