Kevin Coogan

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Who Won the First Democratic Debate (Night 1)?

June 27, 2019 by Kevin Coogan

According to the degree of improvement of Social Media Influence (SMI), the winner of the June 26th Democratic Debate was Julian Castro, followed by Tulsi Gabbard. In order to get some perspective, we have compared the ranking of the performance of candidates at the debate from first to tenth by SMI, on-line surveys, and search. […]

Filed Under: 2020 Elections, Big Data, Polls, Social Media Analysis, Social Media Influence Tagged With: 2020 Election, Google Search Trends, Presidential Debates, SMI, social media influence

Accurate Election Forecast

November 9, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Post-Election          Nailed it, Initial Review of Forecasts Our final forecast was for Trump to win the election with 306 electoral votes.  Though still not 100% declared, it looks like Trump will win 306 electoral votes.  This election has been an unprecedented success for ‘newer’ data and analytics and an awful one for those relying on […]

Filed Under: Election, Enthusiasm to Vote, Forecasts, Fundamental Forecasting, Google Search Trends, Google Search Trends, Identity Politics, Obama Coalition, Polls, Social Desirability Bias, Social Desirability Bias, Social Media Analysis, Voter Turnout, Wikipedia Page Views Tagged With: election 2016, Enthusiasm, forecasts, Google Search Trends, Obama Coalition, Social Desirability Bias, social media analysis, turnout

Google Searches and Pres Debates, surge in interest for Trump

October 28, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016          Google Searches during Debates, advantage Trump As discussed in different posts and research, on-line activity is an excellent determination of interest level which, in the case of a political election, is a good indicator for voting intention and turnout. In the last three US Presidential Elections the candidate with the more dominant Google […]

Filed Under: Google Search Trends, Social Media Analysis, Voter Turnout Tagged With: demographics, election 2016, Google Search Trends, non-college whites

Google Search Trends and Politics

October 19, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016           Forecast / Turnout and Result:  Google Search Trends can Predict Turnout and Election Winner People mostly get their information from search.  If they are interested in something they tend to open a browser and search for the topic at hand.  Google, by most accounts, controls over 60% of search in […]

Filed Under: Election, Enthusiasm to Vote, Google Search Trends, Uncategorized, Voter Turnout Tagged With: election 2016, Google Search Trends, voter turnout

Featured Posts

Who Won the First Democratic Debate (Night 2)?

Who Won the First Democratic Debate (Night 1)?

Michelle Obama as Reluctant Savior

2020 Democrats: Low Probability Candidates and a Reluctant Savior

Overview 2020 Democratic Race using SMI_January 2019

SMI of 2020 Democrats / ST Observations

US Midterms — SMI Trends

US Midterms — Summary of Forecasts

US Midterms — Republicans take a late lead

Bolsonaro to Win Brazil’s Presidency