Kevin Coogan

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SMI Update French Election: Macron becomes Front Runner

January 31, 2017 by Kevin Coogan

2017 French Presidential Election         SMI-leader Macron takes the Betting Market lead Today is the first day that Emmanuel Macron has taken the lead in the betting markets for the 2017 French Presidential Election.  This highly unlikely scenario was forecast using the Social Media Influence (SMI) index in early December, which stated that the then-third place […]

Filed Under: 21st Century Data, Big Data, Election, Forecasts, French Election, Social Media Analysis Tagged With: 2017 French Presidential Election, betting markets, forecasting, social media analysis, social media influence

Accurate Election Forecast

November 9, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Post-Election          Nailed it, Initial Review of Forecasts Our final forecast was for Trump to win the election with 306 electoral votes.  Though still not 100% declared, it looks like Trump will win 306 electoral votes.  This election has been an unprecedented success for ‘newer’ data and analytics and an awful one for those relying on […]

Filed Under: Election, Enthusiasm to Vote, Forecasts, Fundamental Forecasting, Google Search Trends, Google Search Trends, Identity Politics, Obama Coalition, Polls, Social Desirability Bias, Social Desirability Bias, Social Media Analysis, Voter Turnout, Wikipedia Page Views Tagged With: election 2016, Enthusiasm, forecasts, Google Search Trends, Obama Coalition, Social Desirability Bias, social media analysis, turnout

Social Media Predicts Trump Victory

November 4, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016                      Social Media Influence Index => Trump Wins The Social Media Influence (“SMI”) Index was created by ZettaCap, a company I founded that analyzes a variety of social media and on-line data for financial investment analysis.  It correctly predicted from 2015 that Trump would dominate the Republican nomination process and that Clinton would win the […]

Filed Under: Election, Polls, Social Media Analysis Tagged With: election 2016, polls, SMI, social media analysis, social media influence, zettacap

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