Kevin Coogan

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SMI continues to forecast Macron in France

February 18, 2017 by Kevin Coogan

French Election          Macron, the next French President On December 12, 2016, we forecasted that Emmanuel Macron would be elected the next French President.  Since that time, his position as measured by Social Media Influence (SMI) has improved and the forecast remains intact.  The single largest change with this update is that Le Pen has moved […]

Filed Under: Forecasts, French Election, Social Media Analysis Tagged With: 2017 French Presidential Election, Fillon, Le Pen, Macron, SMI, social media influence

Dutch Election: SMI points to D66

February 15, 2017 by Kevin Coogan

Dutch Elections          SMI points to D66 Surge The Netherlands will hold its general election on March 15, 2017, a month from today.  As it occurs prior to the French (April/May) and German (September) elections, it will help to provide an indication of the direction that Europe will take going forward.  Especially, in the relatively volatile […]

Filed Under: Big Data, Dutch Election, Election, Forecasts, Polls, Social Media Analysis Tagged With: Dutch Election, polls, SMI, social media analysis, social media influence, The Netherlands

SMI Update French Election: Macron becomes Front Runner

January 31, 2017 by Kevin Coogan

2017 French Presidential Election         SMI-leader Macron takes the Betting Market lead Today is the first day that Emmanuel Macron has taken the lead in the betting markets for the 2017 French Presidential Election.  This highly unlikely scenario was forecast using the Social Media Influence (SMI) index in early December, which stated that the then-third place […]

Filed Under: 21st Century Data, Big Data, Election, Forecasts, French Election, Social Media Analysis Tagged With: 2017 French Presidential Election, betting markets, forecasting, social media analysis, social media influence

SMI Update French Election: Macron Surges, Fillon Declines

January 26, 2017 by Kevin Coogan

2017 French Presidential Election         SMI continues to point to underdog Macron In early December, or about 6 weeks ago, we predicted using the Social Media Influence (SMI) Index that Emmanuel Macron, then a distant third place in the polls and betting markets, would surge and end up winning the French Presidential Election taking place in […]

Filed Under: Big Data, Election, Forecasts, French Election Tagged With: 2017 French Presidential Election, Fillon, Le Pen, Macron, SMI, social media influence

Social Media: Emmanuel Macron France’s Next President

December 12, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

2017 French Presidential Election         SMI points towards Macron Judging from the Social Media Influence (SMI) index, Emmanuel Macron and Francois Fillon will place first and second, respectively, in the first round of voting which will take place on April 23, 2017 qualifying them to pass on to the second round or head-to-head run-off on May […]

Filed Under: Forecasts, Social Media Analysis Tagged With: 2017 French Presidential Election, betting markets, Fillon, Le Pen, Macron, Poll bias, polls, social media influence

Social Media Predicts Trump Victory

November 4, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016                      Social Media Influence Index => Trump Wins The Social Media Influence (“SMI”) Index was created by ZettaCap, a company I founded that analyzes a variety of social media and on-line data for financial investment analysis.  It correctly predicted from 2015 that Trump would dominate the Republican nomination process and that Clinton would win the […]

Filed Under: Election, Polls, Social Media Analysis Tagged With: election 2016, polls, SMI, social media analysis, social media influence, zettacap

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