Kevin Coogan

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Accurate Election Forecast

November 9, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Post-Election          Nailed it, Initial Review of Forecasts Our final forecast was for Trump to win the election with 306 electoral votes.  Though still not 100% declared, it looks like Trump will win 306 electoral votes.  This election has been an unprecedented success for ‘newer’ data and analytics and an awful one for those relying on […]

Filed Under: Election, Enthusiasm to Vote, Forecasts, Fundamental Forecasting, Google Search Trends, Google Search Trends, Identity Politics, Obama Coalition, Polls, Social Desirability Bias, Social Desirability Bias, Social Media Analysis, Voter Turnout, Wikipedia Page Views Tagged With: election 2016, Enthusiasm, forecasts, Google Search Trends, Obama Coalition, Social Desirability Bias, social media analysis, turnout

Summary, Forecasting Turnout

October 19, 2016 by Kevin Coogan

Election 2016           Forecast / Turnout and Result:  Summary => Republicans to Benefit The election of 2016 is considerably different from previous US Presidential Elections by many metrics including those that help to forecast turnout.  Furthermore, these metrics considerably point to the Republicans benefiting from the increased turnout. There are two general ways […]

Filed Under: Election, Enthusiasm to Vote, Voter Turnout Tagged With: election 2016, Enthusiasm, turnout

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